MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Dylan Smith
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 5 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W, SV); Dylan Smith wins 0 (none).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dylan Smith
95.8
Louis Varland
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dylan Smith
14.1%
Louis Varland
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dylan Smith
27.4%
Louis Varland
34.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dylan Smith
30.2%
Louis Varland
36.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dylan Smith
39.5%
Louis Varland
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dylan Smith
7.0%
Louis Varland
2.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dylan Smith
.292
Louis Varland
.223
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dylan Smith
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Louis Varland
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
2.06
WHIPlower is better
Dylan Smith
.9001.50
now 0.60
1.24
Louis Varland
.9001.50
now 1.03
1.09

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dylan Smith
4058
now 2
15
Louis Varland
4058
now 42
22
Winshigher is better
Dylan Smith
.0002.80
now 0
00
Louis Varland
.0002.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Dylan Smith
.00011.20
now 0
0
Louis Varland
.00011.20
now 8
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighDylan Smith — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.91
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
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