Who's more valuable, rest of season
Elvis Alvarado.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Richard Lovelady’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
◀
W
SV
▶
Elvis Alvarado wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Richard Lovelady wins 2 (K, SV).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
98.7
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
17.8%
Richard Lovelady
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
32.1%
Richard Lovelady
18.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
31.6%
Richard Lovelady
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
52.2%
Richard Lovelady
32.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
17.4%
Richard Lovelady
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
.308
Richard Lovelady
.360
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
3.70
Richard Lovelady
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.77
WHIPlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
.9902.11
now 1.86
1.24
Richard Lovelady
.9902.11
now 1.75
1.26
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
4035.60
now 9
20
Richard Lovelady
4035.60
now 21
28
Winshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.00010.40
now 2
3–8
Richard Lovelady
.00010.40
now 2
2–3
Saveshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.0008.40
now 0
0
Richard Lovelady
.0008.40
now 4
3–6
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeElvis Alvarado — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
