MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Elvis Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Richard Lovelady’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Elvis Alvarado wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Richard Lovelady wins 2 (K, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
98.7
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
17.8%
Richard Lovelady
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
32.1%
Richard Lovelady
18.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
31.6%
Richard Lovelady
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
52.2%
Richard Lovelady
32.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
17.4%
Richard Lovelady
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
.308
Richard Lovelady
.360
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
3.70
Richard Lovelady
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.77
WHIPlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
.9902.11
now 1.86
1.24
Richard Lovelady
.9902.11
now 1.75
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
4035.60
now 9
20
Richard Lovelady
4035.60
now 21
28
Winshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.00010.40
now 2
38
Richard Lovelady
.00010.40
now 2
23
Saveshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.0008.40
now 0
0
Richard Lovelady
.0008.40
now 4
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeElvis Alvarado — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
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