MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Tim Herrin
Tim Herrin
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Elvis Alvarado wins 1 (WHIP); Tim Herrin wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
98.7
Tim Herrin
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
15.8%
Tim Herrin
14.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
27.6%
Tim Herrin
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
28.1%
Tim Herrin
32.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
47.1%
Tim Herrin
37.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
13.2%
Tim Herrin
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
.328
Tim Herrin
.304
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
4.29
Tim Herrin
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.32
3.82
WHIPlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
1.102.08
now 1.86
1.32
Tim Herrin
1.102.08
now 1.63
1.40

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
4022.40
now 9
0
Tim Herrin
4022.40
now 16
0
Winshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Tim Herrin
.0002.80
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighElvis Alvarado — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.89
Hold · leans buyTim Herrin — hold.conf 0.60
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