MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Portrait of Eric Lauer
Eric Lauer
LAD · P
Change to
Trey Gibson
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Trey Gibson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Eric Lauer’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Trey Gibson wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Eric Lauer wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Eric Lauer
90.8
Trey Gibson
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
9.4%
Trey Gibson
9.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
14.7%
Trey Gibson
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
31.6%
Trey Gibson
28.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
36.0%
Trey Gibson
44.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
11.4%
Trey Gibson
8.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Eric Lauer
.345
Trey Gibson
.362
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Eric Lauer
3.366.69
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.95
4.70
Trey Gibson
3.366.69
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.24
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Eric Lauer
1.211.62
now 1.39
1.37
Trey Gibson
1.211.62
now 1.53
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Eric Lauer
4076.40
now 30
56
Trey Gibson
4076.40
now 5
17
Winshigher is better
Eric Lauer
.0006.60
now 2
24
Trey Gibson
.0006.60
now 1
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellEric Lauer — sell.conf 0.83
Hold · wait & seeTrey Gibson — hold.conf 0.50
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