MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 26, 2026
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Trey Gibson
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Steven Matz wins 2 (K, W); Trey Gibson wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Steven Matz
93.3
Trey Gibson
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Steven Matz
10.3%
Trey Gibson
9.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Steven Matz
17.8%
Trey Gibson
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Steven Matz
27.5%
Trey Gibson
28.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Steven Matz
36.1%
Trey Gibson
44.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Steven Matz
13.0%
Trey Gibson
8.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Steven Matz
.366
Trey Gibson
.362
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Steven Matz
3.685.58
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.16
Trey Gibson
3.685.58
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.24
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Steven Matz
1.121.65
now 1.24
1.37
Trey Gibson
1.121.65
now 1.53
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Steven Matz
4084.80
now 35
62
Trey Gibson
4084.80
now 5
18
Winshigher is better
Steven Matz
.00012.20
now 4
49
Trey Gibson
.00012.20
now 1
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeTrey Gibson — hold.conf 0.50
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