Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryTrey
61K ←23
4.96ERA →4.10
1.28WHIP ←1.30
3–6W3–5
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategoryTrey
44K ←5
2.98ERA ←4.24
1.10WHIP ←1.53
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael McGreevy
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.43 is 2.44 above the ERA — regression coming
Trey Gibson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.58 is 0.67 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Michael McGreevy: 61 K / 4.96 ERA. Trey Gibson: 23 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).