Rest of Season Projection
JoseCategoryMichael
56K →61
4.26ERA ←4.96
1.36WHIP →1.28
3–5W3–6
0SV0
Current Season
JoseCategoryMichael
20K →44
5.27ERA →2.98
1.51WHIP →1.10
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jose Quintana
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.92)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 11% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Michael McGreevy
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.43 is 2.44 above the ERA — regression coming
Jose Quintana: 56 K / 4.26 ERA. Michael McGreevy: 61 K / 4.96 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).