Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategoryTrey
76K ←23
5.25ERA →4.10
1.39WHIP →1.30
5–11W ←3–5
0SV0
Current Season
ColinCategoryTrey
49K ←5
4.70ERA →4.24
1.37WHIP ←1.53
5W ←1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Rea
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.87 +1.77 vs league with no luck excuse
Trey Gibson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.58 is 0.67 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Colin Rea: 76 K / 5.25 ERA. Trey Gibson: 23 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).