Rest of Season Projection
EricCategoryLuke
38K →40
3.69ERA →3.67
1.26WHIP →1.24
2–5W2–5
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
EricCategoryLuke
25K25
3.95ERA →2.77
1.39WHIP →1.04
2W2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eric Orze
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.53)
Luke Weaver
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.12 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Eric Orze: 38 K / 3.69 ERA. Luke Weaver: 40 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).