MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT · RF
Change to
Portrait of Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SD · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Esmerlyn Valdez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and average. Jackson Merrill’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Esmerlyn Valdez wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, AVG); Jackson Merrill wins 2 (R, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
90.9
Jackson Merrill
89.9
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
53.7%
Jackson Merrill
46.6%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
29.3%
Jackson Merrill
10.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
23.6%
Jackson Merrill
35.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
16.7%
Jackson Merrill
15.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.401
Jackson Merrill
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .111
.233
Jackson Merrill
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .209
.231

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
516
now 2
12
Jackson Merrill
516
now 5
8
Runshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
2037
now 2
16
Jackson Merrill
2037
now 26
27
RBIhigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
2055.40
now 5
41
Jackson Merrill
2055.40
now 21
22
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.00014
now 0
0
Jackson Merrill
.00014
now 10
10
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighEsmerlyn Valdez — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.72
Hold · leans sellJackson Merrill — hold.conf 0.60
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