MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT · RF
Change to
Portrait of Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOS · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Esmerlyn Valdez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and average. Jarren Duran’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Esmerlyn Valdez wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, AVG); Jarren Duran wins 2 (R, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
92.6
Jarren Duran
89.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
56.8%
Jarren Duran
38.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
29.7%
Jarren Duran
10.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
23.5%
Jarren Duran
35.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
17.2%
Jarren Duran
17.5%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.398
Jarren Duran
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .111
.229
Jarren Duran
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .219
.202

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
516
now 2
12
Jarren Duran
516
now 10
7
Runshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
2041.20
now 2
16
Jarren Duran
2041.20
now 29
30
RBIhigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
2055.40
now 5
41
Jarren Duran
2055.40
now 33
34
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.00014
now 0
0
Jarren Duran
.00014
now 10
10
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighEsmerlyn Valdez — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.70
SellJarren Duran — sell.conf 0.61
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