Rest of Season Projection
EthanCategoryJustin
25K25
3.70ERA ←3.79
1.24WHIP ←1.26
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
EthanCategoryJustin
12K →18
1.69ERA ←4.61
1.00WHIP ←1.46
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ethan Roberts
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.245 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.15 is 2.38 above the ERA — regression coming
Justin Bruihl
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.08)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ethan Roberts: 25 K / 3.70 ERA. Justin Bruihl: 25 K / 3.79 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).