Rest of Season Projection
EuryCategoryTyler
108K ←93
4.67ERA →4.06
1.32WHIP ←1.38
3–6W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
EuryCategoryTyler
72K ←57
4.60ERA ←6.04
1.26WHIP ←1.54
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eury Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.98 is 0.38 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.06 sits 0.04 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Eury Pérez: 108 K / 4.67 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 93 K / 4.06 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).