Rest of Season Projection
FosterCategoryJustin
101K ←78
4.31ERA →3.85
1.25WHIP ←1.28
6–13W →8–17
0SV0
Current Season
FosterCategoryJustin
65K ←40
3.76ERA →2.87
1.15WHIP →1.01
6W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Foster Griffin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.42 is 0.66 above the ERA — regression coming
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.85 is 0.98 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Foster Griffin: 101 K / 4.31 ERA. Justin Wrobleski: 78 K / 3.85 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).