MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Francisco Alvarez
NYM · C
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CIN · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Francisco Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Francisco Alvarez wins 3 categories (HR, R, AVG); Tyler Stephenson wins 1 (RBI); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Francisco Alvarez
90.3
Tyler Stephenson
90.9
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Francisco Alvarez
44.4%
Tyler Stephenson
45.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Francisco Alvarez
16.3%
Tyler Stephenson
11.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Francisco Alvarez
32.9%
Tyler Stephenson
21.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Francisco Alvarez
15.2%
Tyler Stephenson
11.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Francisco Alvarez
.339
Tyler Stephenson
.346
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .243
.244
Tyler Stephenson
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .193
.241

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
56.20
now 4
5
Tyler Stephenson
56.20
now 4
4
Runshigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
2016.20
now 12
13
Tyler Stephenson
2016.20
now 11
10
RBIhigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
2020.20
now 10
11
Tyler Stephenson
2020.20
now 17
15
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
.0001.20
now 0
0
Tyler Stephenson
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyFrancisco Alvarez — buy.conf 0.65
BuyTyler Stephenson — buy.conf 0.66
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