MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Francisco Alvarez
NYM · C
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CIN · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Stephenson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI. Francisco Alvarez’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Tyler Stephenson wins 1 categories (RBI); Francisco Alvarez wins 0 (none); 4 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Francisco Alvarez
90.3
Tyler Stephenson
91.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Francisco Alvarez
45.6%
Tyler Stephenson
44.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Francisco Alvarez
15.7%
Tyler Stephenson
12.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Francisco Alvarez
31.9%
Tyler Stephenson
22.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Francisco Alvarez
15.9%
Tyler Stephenson
11.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Francisco Alvarez
.324
Tyler Stephenson
.333
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .243
.226
Tyler Stephenson
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .193
.227

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
55.20
now 4
1
Tyler Stephenson
55.20
now 4
1
Runshigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
2015.60
now 12
3
Tyler Stephenson
2015.60
now 11
3
RBIhigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
2022.60
now 10
3
Tyler Stephenson
2022.60
now 17
4
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Francisco Alvarez
.0001.20
now 0
0
Tyler Stephenson
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyFrancisco Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
BuyTyler Stephenson — buy.conf 0.64
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