Rest of Season Projection
FreddyCategoryGerrit
116K ←99
3.77ERA ←4.10
1.35WHIP →1.30
3–7W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
FreddyCategoryGerrit
68K ←12
3.55ERA →0.00
1.30WHIP →0.71
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Freddy Peralta
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.77)
Gerrit Cole
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.191 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.48 is 0.48 above the ERA — regression coming
Freddy Peralta: 116 K / 3.77 ERA. Gerrit Cole: 99 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).