Rest of Season Projection
GarrettCategoryJuan
38K →41
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP ←1.26
1–3W ←1–2
1–4SV →3–5
Current Season
GarrettCategoryJuan
17K →30
3.65ERA ←6.00
1.46WHIP ←1.70
1W1
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Garrett Cleavinger
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.63)
Juan Mejia
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.69 sits 0.41 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.375 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Garrett Cleavinger: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Juan Mejia: 41 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).