Rest of Season Projection
GavinCategoryRafael
9HR →14
37R ←36
38RBI →42
5SB ←0
.216AVG →.229
Current Season
GavinCategoryRafael
9HR ←7
22R →26
23RBI →30
3SB ←0
.245AVG →.251
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gavin Sheets
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.336, +0.021 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Rafael Devers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.291 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Gavin Sheets: 9 HR / 37 R. Rafael Devers: 14 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).