Rest of Season Projection
GavinCategoryShota
114K ←96
4.31ERA →3.67
1.20WHIP →1.16
7–15W ←4–8
0SV0
Current Season
GavinCategoryShota
88K ←69
3.07ERA ←4.37
1.09WHIP →1.07
8W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gavin Williams
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.266 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.43 is 1.11 above the ERA — regression coming
Shota Imanaga
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.67)
Gavin Williams: 115 K / 4.31 ERA. Shota Imanaga: 97 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).