MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Portrait of Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
CLE · P
Change to
Tarik Skubal
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Gavin Williams wins 2 (K, W); Tarik Skubal wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gavin Williams
96.7
Tarik Skubal
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
14.7%
Tarik Skubal
14.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
27.9%
Tarik Skubal
26.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
32.8%
Tarik Skubal
34.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gavin Williams
49.1%
Tarik Skubal
41.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gavin Williams
12.8%
Tarik Skubal
6.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gavin Williams
.333
Tarik Skubal
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gavin Williams
25.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.07
4.44
Tarik Skubal
25.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
3.63
WHIPlower is better
Gavin Williams
.9001.31
now 1.09
1.21
Tarik Skubal
.9001.31
now 0.95
1.09

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gavin Williams
40124.80
now 88
102
Tarik Skubal
40124.80
now 45
85
Winshigher is better
Gavin Williams
.00017
now 8
613
Tarik Skubal
.00017
now 3
48

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighGavin Williams — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
BuyTarik Skubal — buy.conf 0.74
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