Who's more valuable, rest of season
Too close to call.
They split your categories 2–2. Take whoever fills a bigger need.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Gavin Williams wins 2 (K, W); Tarik Skubal wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gavin Williams
97.3
Tarik Skubal
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
15.6%
Tarik Skubal
17.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
32.3%
Tarik Skubal
30.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
33.8%
Tarik Skubal
36.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gavin Williams
48.9%
Tarik Skubal
34.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gavin Williams
11.5%
Tarik Skubal
7.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gavin Williams
.304
Tarik Skubal
.269
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gavin Williams
2.244.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.07
3.85
Tarik Skubal
2.244.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
2.97
WHIPlower is better
Gavin Williams
.9001.17
now 1.09
1.10
Tarik Skubal
.9001.17
now 0.95
1.01
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gavin Williams
40107.20
now 88
47
Tarik Skubal
40107.20
now 45
40
Winshigher is better
Gavin Williams
.00010.40
now 8
3–6
Tarik Skubal
.00010.40
now 3
2–4
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyGavin Williams — hold.conf 0.60
BuyTarik Skubal — buy.conf 0.92