MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Portrait of Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes
PIT · P
Change to
Tarik Skubal
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Paul Skenes.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Paul Skenes wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Tarik Skubal wins 1 (WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Paul Skenes
97.0
Tarik Skubal
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Paul Skenes
14.5%
Tarik Skubal
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Paul Skenes
30.6%
Tarik Skubal
29.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Paul Skenes
32.9%
Tarik Skubal
36.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Paul Skenes
36.6%
Tarik Skubal
39.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Paul Skenes
6.0%
Tarik Skubal
7.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Paul Skenes
.255
Tarik Skubal
.282
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Paul Skenes
2.403.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.89
2.64
Tarik Skubal
2.403.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
3.24
WHIPlower is better
Paul Skenes
.9001.15
now 0.86
1.07
Tarik Skubal
.9001.15
now 0.95
1.00

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Paul Skenes
40101
now 75
85
Tarik Skubal
40101
now 45
71
Winshigher is better
Paul Skenes
.60011.40
now 6
49
Tarik Skubal
.60011.40
now 3
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyPaul Skenes — buy.conf 0.92
BuyTarik Skubal — buy.conf 0.86
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