MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 19, 2026
Portrait of Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
NYY · P
Change to
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Gerrit Cole wins 1 (K); Matthew Boyd wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
96.6
Matthew Boyd
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
8.1%
Matthew Boyd
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
21.4%
Matthew Boyd
31.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
30.9%
Matthew Boyd
37.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gerrit Cole
31.0%
Matthew Boyd
50.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gerrit Cole
5.1%
Matthew Boyd
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gerrit Cole
.258
Matthew Boyd
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gerrit Cole
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
4.10
Matthew Boyd
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.11
WHIPlower is better
Gerrit Cole
.9001.54
now 0.71
1.30
Matthew Boyd
.9001.54
now 1.29
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gerrit Cole
40110
now 12
82
Matthew Boyd
40110
now 31
74
Winshigher is better
Gerrit Cole
.00010.80
now 1
48
Matthew Boyd
.00010.80
now 2
48

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGerrit Cole — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowMatthew Boyd — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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