Rest of Season Projection
GerritCategorySonny
97K ←86
4.10ERA ←4.38
1.30WHIP ←1.33
4–9W →7–16
0SV0
Current Season
GerritCategorySonny
12K →41
0.00ERA ←3.06
0.71WHIP ←1.20
1W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gerrit Cole
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.191 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.49 is 0.49 above the ERA — regression coming
Sonny Gray
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.53 +0.43 vs league with no luck excuse
Gerrit Cole: 97 K / 4.10 ERA. Sonny Gray: 86 K / 4.38 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).