MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Gordon Graceffo
Gordon Graceffo
STL · P
Change to
Kyle Backhus
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kyle Backhus.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Gordon Graceffo’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Kyle Backhus wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Gordon Graceffo wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gordon Graceffo
95.5
Kyle Backhus
90.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gordon Graceffo
7.6%
Kyle Backhus
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gordon Graceffo
15.8%
Kyle Backhus
21.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gordon Graceffo
24.3%
Kyle Backhus
29.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gordon Graceffo
45.5%
Kyle Backhus
33.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gordon Graceffo
11.0%
Kyle Backhus
5.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gordon Graceffo
.349
Kyle Backhus
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gordon Graceffo
25.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.80
4.71
Kyle Backhus
25.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.66
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Gordon Graceffo
.9001.64
now 0.90
1.43
Kyle Backhus
.9001.64
now 1.24
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gordon Graceffo
4020.60
now 14
9
Kyle Backhus
4020.60
now 10
15
Winshigher is better
Gordon Graceffo
.0005.60
now 4
14
Kyle Backhus
.0005.60
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Gordon Graceffo
.0002.40
now 1
01
Kyle Backhus
.0002.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighGordon Graceffo — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Buy LowKyle Backhus — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Tweet