MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Portrait of Griffin Canning
Griffin Canning
SD · P
Change to
Matt Waldron
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Waldron.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Griffin Canning’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Waldron wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Griffin Canning wins 1 (K); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Griffin Canning
94.4
Matt Waldron
92.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
11.1%
Matt Waldron
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
22.5%
Matt Waldron
19.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
26.3%
Matt Waldron
30.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Griffin Canning
47.3%
Matt Waldron
39.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Griffin Canning
10.0%
Matt Waldron
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Griffin Canning
.334
Matt Waldron
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Griffin Canning
2.338.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.16
4.51
Matt Waldron
2.338.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.09
WHIPlower is better
Griffin Canning
1.141.87
now 1.55
1.42
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Griffin Canning
4036.60
now 27
31
Matt Waldron
4036.60
now 22
29
Winshigher is better
Griffin Canning
.0002.80
now 0
00
Matt Waldron
.0002.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellGriffin Canning — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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