Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryPaxton
31K →45
3.76ERA →3.71
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–3W ←0–0
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
HobyCategoryPaxton
12K →24
2.49ERA ←4.91
1.03WHIP ←1.36
1W ←0
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.91 is 2.58 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Paxton Schultz
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.15)
Hoby Milner: 31 K / 3.76 ERA. Paxton Schultz: 45 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).