Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryTim
27K →38
3.79ERA →3.67
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←1–2
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
HobyCategoryTim
12K →26
2.49ERA ←3.62
1.03WHIP →0.99
1W1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.52 is 1.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tim Mayza
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.21)
Hoby Milner: 27 K / 3.79 ERA. Tim Mayza: 38 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).