MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 8, 2026
Hunter Dobbins
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Hunter Dobbins wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Seth Lugo wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
95.9
Seth Lugo
91.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
11.4%
Seth Lugo
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
26.0%
Seth Lugo
18.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
26.8%
Seth Lugo
25.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Hunter Dobbins
53.2%
Seth Lugo
43.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Hunter Dobbins
14.9%
Seth Lugo
10.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Hunter Dobbins
.358
Seth Lugo
.353
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Hunter Dobbins
3.015.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
4.10
Seth Lugo
3.015.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.91
WHIPlower is better
Hunter Dobbins
1.231.45
now 1.38
1.30
Seth Lugo
1.231.45
now 1.35
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Hunter Dobbins
4086.40
now 8
38
Seth Lugo
4086.40
now 60
64
Winshigher is better
Hunter Dobbins
.0004.20
now 0
00
Seth Lugo
.0004.20
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeHunter Dobbins — hold.conf 0.50
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.90
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