Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryJo
12HR →16
36R ←32
31RBI →50
14SB ←4
.251AVG →.264
Current Season
JacksonCategoryJo
2HR →9
13R →22
11RBI →34
5SB ←3
.276AVG ←.236
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Chourio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.403 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.349 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Jo Adell
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.274 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Jackson Chourio: 12 HR / 36 R. Jo Adell: 16 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).