Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryPete
12HR →14
36R →49
31RBI →38
14SB →18
.251AVG ←.248
Current Season
JacksonCategoryPete
2HR →7
13R →33
11RBI →26
5SB →12
.276AVG ←.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Chourio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.403 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.349 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Pete Crow-Armstrong
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.351, +0.036 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jackson Chourio: 12 HR / 36 R. Pete Crow-Armstrong: 14 HR / 49 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).