MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Portrait of Jake Bird
Jake Bird
NYY · P
Change to
Ryan Gusto
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jake Bird wins 1 (W); Ryan Gusto wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jake Bird
94.0
Ryan Gusto
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jake Bird
11.8%
Ryan Gusto
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jake Bird
25.4%
Ryan Gusto
20.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jake Bird
24.7%
Ryan Gusto
30.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jake Bird
37.8%
Ryan Gusto
47.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jake Bird
9.5%
Ryan Gusto
10.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jake Bird
.328
Ryan Gusto
.348
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jake Bird
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.00
3.70
Ryan Gusto
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Jake Bird
1.071.84
now 1.33
1.24
Ryan Gusto
1.071.84
now 1.67
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jake Bird
4047.40
now 20
24
Ryan Gusto
4047.40
now 4
35
Winshigher is better
Jake Bird
.0002.80
now 1
12
Ryan Gusto
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJake Bird — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRyan Gusto — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet