MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Joel Kuhnel
Joel Kuhnel
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Alexander
Tyler Alexander
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Alexander.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Joel Kuhnel’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Tyler Alexander wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Joel Kuhnel wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
95.1
Tyler Alexander
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
10.7%
Tyler Alexander
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
14.0%
Tyler Alexander
21.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Joel Kuhnel
29.2%
Tyler Alexander
31.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Joel Kuhnel
39.5%
Tyler Alexander
35.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Joel Kuhnel
5.9%
Tyler Alexander
3.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Joel Kuhnel
.355
Tyler Alexander
.279
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Joel Kuhnel
2.754.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.04
3.76
Tyler Alexander
2.754.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.12
3.67
WHIPlower is better
Joel Kuhnel
1.101.46
now 1.18
1.25
Tyler Alexander
1.101.46
now 1.38
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Joel Kuhnel
4026.60
now 13
13
Tyler Alexander
4026.60
now 21
16
Winshigher is better
Joel Kuhnel
.0001.48
now 1
11
Tyler Alexander
.0001.48
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Joel Kuhnel
.0005.40
now 4
24
Tyler Alexander
.0005.40
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJoel Kuhnel — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTyler Alexander — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet