MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Keaton Winn
Keaton Winn
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Alexander
Tyler Alexander
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Keaton Winn wins 1 (WHIP); Tyler Alexander wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Keaton Winn
96.1
Tyler Alexander
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Keaton Winn
10.9%
Tyler Alexander
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Keaton Winn
18.8%
Tyler Alexander
19.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Keaton Winn
27.7%
Tyler Alexander
31.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Keaton Winn
33.3%
Tyler Alexander
32.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Keaton Winn
4.9%
Tyler Alexander
4.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Keaton Winn
.308
Tyler Alexander
.279
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Keaton Winn
24.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.72
Tyler Alexander
24.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.12
3.25
WHIPlower is better
Keaton Winn
.9001.57
now 0.90
1.25
Tyler Alexander
.9001.57
now 1.38
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Keaton Winn
4030.80
now 22
0
Tyler Alexander
4030.80
now 21
0
Winshigher is better
Keaton Winn
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Tyler Alexander
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighKeaton Winn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.81
BuyTyler Alexander — buy.conf 0.85
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