Rest of Season Projection
JoeyCategoryTyler
85K →91
4.27ERA →4.07
1.44WHIP →1.38
4–9W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
JoeyCategoryTyler
52K →57
3.57ERA ←6.04
1.40WHIP ←1.54
4W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joey Cantillo
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.36)
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.07 sits 0.03 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Joey Cantillo: 85 K / 4.27 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 91 K / 4.07 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).