MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Nick Mears
Nick Mears
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Nick Mears’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, SV); Nick Mears wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.4
Nick Mears
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
14.5%
Nick Mears
8.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
26.8%
Nick Mears
18.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
36.6%
Nick Mears
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
30.8%
Nick Mears
50.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
3.8%
Nick Mears
12.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.310
Nick Mears
.382
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
Nick Mears
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.12
3.70
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.012.04
now 1.81
1.24
Nick Mears
1.012.04
now 1.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4051.40
now 26
41
Nick Mears
4051.40
now 15
28
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0006.60
now 1
12
Nick Mears
.0006.60
now 2
25
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0004.40
now 1
13
Nick Mears
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeNick Mears — hold.conf 0.50
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