MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Tommy Nance
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

José Alvarado wins 1 (ERA); Tommy Nance wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.2
Tommy Nance
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
13.3%
Tommy Nance
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
26.9%
Tommy Nance
25.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
33.0%
Tommy Nance
35.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
29.6%
Tommy Nance
37.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
4.9%
Tommy Nance
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.303
Tommy Nance
.319
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
2.926.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.79
Tommy Nance
2.926.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.68
4.08
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
.9302.06
now 1.81
1.34
Tommy Nance
.9302.06
now 1.18
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4034
now 26
6
Tommy Nance
4034
now 26
6
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
00
Tommy Nance
.0001.48
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · leans sellTommy Nance — hold.conf 0.60
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