MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Josh Hader
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Erceg
Lucas Erceg
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Josh Hader wins 2 (WHIP, SV); Lucas Erceg wins 2 (K, W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Josh Hader
95.1
Lucas Erceg
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Josh Hader
20.8%
Lucas Erceg
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Josh Hader
39.7%
Lucas Erceg
15.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Josh Hader
42.8%
Lucas Erceg
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Josh Hader
22.2%
Lucas Erceg
40.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Josh Hader
2.8%
Lucas Erceg
5.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Josh Hader
.189
Lucas Erceg
.326
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Josh Hader
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Lucas Erceg
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.33
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Josh Hader
.9002.29
now 1.00
1.24
Lucas Erceg
.9002.29
now 1.92
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Josh Hader
4029
now 1
16
Lucas Erceg
4029
now 18
21
Winshigher is better
Josh Hader
.0005.60
now 0
00
Lucas Erceg
.0005.60
now 3
24
Saveshigher is better
Josh Hader
.00038.80
now 1
628
Lucas Erceg
.00038.80
now 11
713
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJosh Hader — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeLucas Erceg — hold.conf 0.55
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