Rest of Season Projection
JuanCategoryJustin
43K ←37
3.71ERA →3.60
1.26WHIP →1.24
1–2W →1–4
3–5SV ←0
Current Season
JuanCategoryJustin
30K ←26
6.00ERA →3.54
1.70WHIP →1.11
1W →2
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Juan Mejia
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.83 sits 0.27 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.388 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Justin Sterner
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.37)
Juan Mejia: 43 K / 3.71 ERA. Justin Sterner: 37 K / 3.60 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).