Rest of Season Projection
JordanCategoryJuan
35K →43
3.70ERA3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.26
2–5W ←1–2
0SV →3–5
Current Season
JordanCategoryJuan
18K →30
6.27ERA →6.00
1.23WHIP ←1.70
2W ←1
0SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jordan Leasure
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.196 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.29 is 1.02 above the ERA — regression coming
Juan Mejia
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.83 sits 0.27 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.388 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jordan Leasure: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Juan Mejia: 43 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).