Who's more valuable, rest of season
Victor Mesa Jr..
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Justin Crawford’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
HR
▶
R
▶
RBI
▶
◀
SB
◀
AVG
Victor Mesa Jr. wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Justin Crawford wins 2 (SB, AVG).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Justin Crawford
86.9
Victor Mesa Jr.
87.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Justin Crawford
34.4%
Victor Mesa Jr.
37.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Justin Crawford
1.0%
Victor Mesa Jr.
9.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Justin Crawford
39.1%
Victor Mesa Jr.
33.5%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Justin Crawford
10.5%
Victor Mesa Jr.
13.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Justin Crawford
.272
Victor Mesa Jr.
.317
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Justin Crawford
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .234
.242
Victor Mesa Jr.
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .211
.213
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Justin Crawford
56.60
now 2
2
Victor Mesa Jr.
56.60
now 1
5
Runshigher is better
Justin Crawford
2031
now 14
16
Victor Mesa Jr.
2031
now 3
23
RBIhigher is better
Justin Crawford
2031
now 12
14
Victor Mesa Jr.
2031
now 3
23
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Justin Crawford
.00011.20
now 7
8
Victor Mesa Jr.
.00011.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellJustin Crawford — sell.conf 0.64
Hold · wait & seeVictor Mesa Jr. — hold.conf 0.50