Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategorySeth
35K ←33
3.75ERA →3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategorySeth
25K ←13
5.32ERA →2.92
1.55WHIP →1.54
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Lawrence
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.29)
Seth Halvorsen
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.261 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.75 is 3.44 above the ERA — regression coming
Justin Lawrence: 35 K / 3.75 ERA. Seth Halvorsen: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).