Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategorySeth
50K ←33
4.19ERA →3.70
1.38WHIP →1.24
2–6W ←0–0
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
ChadCategorySeth
34K ←13
2.54ERA ←2.92
1.20WHIP ←1.54
3W ←0
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.45 +0.35 vs league with no luck excuse
Seth Halvorsen
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.261 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.75 is 3.44 above the ERA — regression coming
Chad Patrick: 50 K / 4.19 ERA. Seth Halvorsen: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).