Rest of Season Projection
KerryCategoryOneil
10HR →19
28R →63
44RBI →61
0SB →28
.184AVG →.242
Current Season
KerryCategoryOneil
7HR →13
12R →42
19RBI →41
0SB →19
.239AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kerry Carpenter
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.302)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Kerry Carpenter: 10 HR / 28 R. Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).
