Rest of Season Projection
KerryCategoryTaylor
10HR ←6
28R →31
44RBI ←27
0SB →4
.184AVG →.212
Current Season
KerryCategoryTaylor
7HR ←0
12R ←7
19RBI ←6
0SB →1
.239AVG →.314
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kerry Carpenter
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.302)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Taylor Trammell
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.471 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.248 is 0.081 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Kerry Carpenter: 10 HR / 28 R. Taylor Trammell: 6 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).