Rest of Season Projection
KumarCategorySeth
81K →95
4.45ERA ←4.83
1.42WHIP →1.36
2–5W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
KumarCategorySeth
44K →60
3.54ERA3.55
1.32WHIP ←1.35
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kumar Rocker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.64 is 1.10 above the ERA — regression coming
Seth Lugo
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.23 +1.13 vs league with no luck excuse
Kumar Rocker: 81 K / 4.45 ERA. Seth Lugo: 95 K / 4.83 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).