Rest of Season Projection
LawrenceCategoryTaylor
9HR ←6
32R ←31
27RBI27
8SB ←4
.224AVG ←.212
Current Season
LawrenceCategoryTaylor
3HR ←0
17R ←7
14RBI ←6
4SB ←1
.164AVG →.314
What Each Player's System Trusts
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.210 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Taylor Trammell
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.471 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.248 is 0.081 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Lawrence Butler: 9 HR / 32 R. Taylor Trammell: 6 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).