MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Lucas Giolito
Lucas Giolito
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Lucas Giolito wins 1 (WHIP); Stephen Kolek wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Stephen Kolek
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Stephen Kolek
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Stephen Kolek
15.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Stephen Kolek
26.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Stephen Kolek
36.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
Stephen Kolek
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
.358
Stephen Kolek
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lucas Giolito
2.885.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
Stephen Kolek
2.885.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
3.84
WHIPlower is better
Lucas Giolito
.9002.06
now 1.74
1.30
Stephen Kolek
.9002.06
now 0.94
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lucas Giolito
4024.60
now 6
7
Stephen Kolek
4024.60
now 19
7
Winshigher is better
Lucas Giolito
.2003.80
now 2
12
Stephen Kolek
.2003.80
now 3
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · leans buyStephen Kolek — hold.conf 0.60
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