Rest of Season Projection
LuisCategoryLuke
1HR →6
44R ←41
35RBI ←30
8SB →16
.296AVG ←.235
Current Season
LuisCategoryLuke
2HR ←1
29R ←26
23RBI ←19
5SB →10
.321AVG ←.244
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luis Arraez
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.310 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Luke Keaschall
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.281 below league with no luck excuse
Luis Arraez: 1 HR / 44 R. Luke Keaschall: 6 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).