Rest of Season Projection
LuisCategoryMatt
1HR →10
37R ←30
30RBI ←28
6SB →9
.295AVG ←.228
Current Season
LuisCategoryMatt
2HR →5
29R ←22
23RBI ←21
5SB →7
.321AVG ←.198
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luis Arraez
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.303)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.326 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Matt McLain
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.330, +0.015 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Luis Arraez: 1 HR / 37 R. Matt McLain: 10 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).