MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Matt Strahm
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Matt Festa wins 1 (SV); Matt Strahm wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Festa
92.1
Matt Strahm
91.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
13.1%
Matt Strahm
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
24.2%
Matt Strahm
16.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Festa
33.7%
Matt Strahm
29.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
36.9%
Matt Strahm
40.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
7.8%
Matt Strahm
8.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Festa
.307
Matt Strahm
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Festa
3.315.07
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.71
Matt Strahm
3.315.07
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.86
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Matt Festa
1.171.36
now 1.24
1.24
Matt Strahm
1.171.36
now 1.29
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Festa
4040.80
now 27
29
Matt Strahm
4040.80
now 17
34
Winshigher is better
Matt Festa
.5202.48
now 1
12
Matt Strahm
.5202.48
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Matt Festa
.0003.40
now 1
02
Matt Strahm
.0003.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeMatt Strahm — hold.conf 0.50
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